During the presidency of George W. Bush, an average of 382 people per year died while illegally crossing the border. Under Obama, this figure was 372, or 3% lower. Under Trump, this figure was 282, or 26% lower. During Biden's first full fiscal year in office (which will end on Sept 30, 2022), there have already been 748 border crossing deaths, or more than twice the average under Trump. While some people who are considering illegal immigration react to tighter border security by taking more dangerous paths, others respond by choosing not to make the trip at all. The net effect of these factors is unknown because many other variables can impact border crossing deaths. However, the lower number of deaths under Trump and vastly higher deaths under Biden run contrary to a 2013 article from U.S. News & World Report which claimed that increased border security causes "a spike in migrant deaths."