In the 2020 presidential election, how many fewer absentee/mail-in ballots would have been counted in Georgia if the state had the same ballot rejection rate as in 2016?
In the 2020 presidential election, the absentee/mail-in ballot rejection rate in Georgia was 0.35%, as compared to at least 2.9% in the 2016 election. In 2020, Georgia received 1,327,126 absentee/mail-in ballots. Thus, if Georgia had the same rejection rate in 2020 as in 2016, at least 34,000 fewer absentee ballots would have been counted. In comparison, Joe Biden's margin of victory in Georgia was 11,779 votes. All of this data is from Georgia's Secretary of State, the primary source for it. A so-called "fact check" by the New York Times denies this reality by citing the rates of rejection for signature mismatches, but these are only a subset of the overall rates, not the full rejection rates. By publishing this, the Times violated a vital aspect of honest research: comprehensiveness.
DocumentationGeorgia Absentee BallotsImport of Primary SourcesImport of Comprehensiveness