Based on the CDC's current best estimate, what portion of people who catch Covid-19 and are 20 to 49 years old will die from it?
On September 10, the CDC published new estimates of the infection fatality ratio for C-19. This is the "number of individuals who die of the disease among all infected individuals (symptomatic and asymptomatic)." The CDC's current best estimate is that this figure is 0.0002--or one in 5,000--for people aged 20 to 49. For people of other ages, the estimates vary as follows: one in 33,000 for ages 0 to 19, one in 200 for ages 50 to 69, and one in 19 for ages 70 and above. At the outset of the pandemic, media outlets widely reported that about one in every 30 people who catch C-19 die from it, but these figures were based only upon reported infections. Thus, they grossly undercounted the number of people with the disease, which made the death rate seem much higher than reality.